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1

Predicting the decline of ethnic civil war

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Cederman, Lars-Erik, Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede, Wucherpfennig, Julian

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 438 KB

english, 2017

2

Ethnicity, the State, and the Duration of Civil War

Wucherpfennig, Julian, Metternich, Nils W., Cederman, Lars-Erik, Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede

Journal:

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.07 MB

english, 2012

3

Predicting local violence

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Blair, Robert A, Blattman, Christopher, Hartman, Alexandra

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 322 KB

english, 2017

4

Subnational violent conflict forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa, 2015–65, using climate-sensitive models

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Witmer, Frank DW, Linke, Andrew M, O’Loughlin, John, Gettelman, Andrew, Laing, Arlene

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.69 MB

english, 2017

5

Financing rebellion

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Daxecker, Ursula, Prins, Brandon C

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 837 KB

english, 2017

6

Strategic rebels: a spatial econometric approach to rebel fighting durations in civil wars

Metternich, Nils W., Wucherpfennig, Julian

Journal:

International Interactions

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 2.80 MB

2020

7

Expecting Elections: Interventions, Ethnic Support, and the Duration of Civil Wars

Nils W. Metternich

Journal:

Journal of Conflict Resolution

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.55 MB

english, 2011

8

Do the robot

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Colaresi, Michael, Mahmood, Zuhaib

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.24 MB

english, 2017

9

Canaries in a coal-mine? What the killings of journalists tell us about future repression

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Gohdes, Anita R, Carey, Sabine C

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 654 KB

english, 2017

10

Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict Prediction

Ward, Michael D., Metternich, Nils W., Dorff, Cassy L., Gallop, Max, Hollenbach, Florian M., Schultz, Anna, Weschle, Simon

Journal:

International Studies Review

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 950 KB

english, 2013

11

Antigovernment Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior

Metternich, Nils W., Dorff, Cassy, Gallop, Max, Weschle, Simon, Ward, Michael D.

Journal:

American Journal of Political Science

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 643 KB

english, 2013

12

Every Story Has a Beginning, Middle, and an End (But Not Always in That Order): Predicting Duration Dynamics in a Unified Framework

Chiba, Daina, Metternich, Nils W., Ward, Michael D.

Journal:

Political Science Research and Methods

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 440 KB

english, 2015

13

The oracle or the crowd? Experts versus the stock market in forecasting ceasefire success in the Levant

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Schneider, Gerald, Hadar, Maya, Bosler, Naomi

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 257 KB

english, 2017

14

Market anticipations of conflict onsets

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Chadefaux, Thomas

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 767 KB

english, 2017

15

The shape of things to come? Expanding the inequality and grievance model for civil war forecasts with event data

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Chiba, Daina, Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 974 KB

english, 2017

16

Born Weak, Growing Strong: Anti-Government Protests as a Signal of Rebel Strength in the Context of Civil Wars

Leventoğlu, Bahar, Metternich, Nils W.

Journal:

American Journal of Political Science

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 453 KB

english, 2018

17

Multiple Imputation Using Gaussian Copulas

Hollenbach, Florian M., Bojinov, Iavor, Minhas, Shahryar, Metternich, Nils W., Ward, Michael D., Volfovsky, Alexander

Journal:

Sociological Methods & Research

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 408 KB

english, 2018

18

Ethnic Coalitions and the Logic of Political Survival in Authoritarian Regimes

Beiser-McGrath, Janina, Metternich, Nils W.

Journal:

Comparative Political Studies

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 406 KB

2020

19

The flight of white-collars: Civil conflict, availability of medical service providers and public health

Kıbrıs, Arzu, Metternich, Nils

Journal:

Social Science & Medicine

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.37 MB

english, 2016

20

Introduction

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 235 KB

english, 2017

21

The Nils Petter Gleditsch JPR Article of the Year Award, 2016, goes to Charles Miller and Benjamin S Barber IV

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 117 KB

english, 2017

22

Evaluating the scope and intensity of the conflict trap

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Hegre, Håvard, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Ræder, Ranveig Flaten

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.00 MB

english, 2017

23

The JPR Best Visualization Award 2016 goes to Brandon J Kinne

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 71 KB

english, 2017

24

Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian, Ward, Michael D, Beger, Andreas

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.08 MB

english, 2017

25

2016 Reviewers

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 112 KB

english, 2017

26

Errata

Hegre, Håvard, Metternich, Nils W, Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv, Wucherpfennig, Julian

Journal:

Journal of Peace Research

Year:

2017

File:

PDF, 90 KB

2017